Super forecasting. The Art and Science of Prediction

The book explores the possibilities of successful prediction of events in various areas of our life. The authors, Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner, analyze the methods and techniques that help experts make accurate predictions.

The book is of interest to anyone interested in forecasting, problem-solving techniques, and decision-making theories. The authors collected a number of predictions that came true, and based on this data, developed an effective formula for successful predictions that works in various fields, including business, politics, international relations and personal life.

Philip Tetlock is a Canadian-American writer, political scientist and professor at the University of Pennsylvania. Dan Gardner is a journalist and winner of the Amnesty International Media Award.

This book offers important lessons and insights on how to improve the accuracy of forecasts and make them more effective.